Is United Parcel Service Inc. Stock (UPS) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from UPS's daily closing prices · Data through August 31, 2026
As of August 31, 2026, UPS’s 14-day RSI is 46.5, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
UPS reads 46.5 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
-2.5%
MA: $106.96
vs 200-Day MA
+4.5%
MA: $99.75
From 52-Wk High
-13.1%
High: $120.00
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-28%
Avg: 3.5M shares
The 50-day average is currently above the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term uptrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
August 31, 2026United Parcel Service (UPS) is currently in a neutral momentum posture, with an RSI-14 of 46.53, trading below its 50-day moving average and 13.11% off its 52-week high. The stock experienced a significant decline of 6.6% immediately following its second-quarter 2026 earnings report on July 28, 2026, despite beating analyst expectations for both EPS and revenue. This muted investor reaction suggests skepticism regarding the company's strategic pivot away from low-margin volume, such as Amazon packages, towards higher-margin segments like healthcare and international logistics. Concerns include cautious Q3 guidance and the reliance on fuel surcharges for a portion of recent revenue growth. The broader logistics sector faces headwinds from shrinking capacity, rising fuel costs, and geopolitical risks, contributing to a structurally tighter market.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How UPS behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| overbought | July 16, 2026 – July 17, 2026 | -2.5% |
| oversold | March 27, 2026 – March 30, 2026 | +16.6% |
| oversold | March 12, 2026 – March 20, 2026 | -1.2% |
| oversold | March 9, 2026 | -2.5% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from UPS’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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