Is United Parcel Service Inc. Stock (UPS) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from UPS's daily closing prices · Data through October 15, 2026
As of October 15, 2026, UPS’s 14-day RSI is 54.8, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
UPS reads 54.8 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
-1.7%
MA: $99.54
vs 200-Day MA
-3.7%
MA: $101.64
From 52-Wk High
-18.5%
High: $120.00
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-61%
Avg: 3.7M shares
The 50-day average is currently below the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term downtrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
October 15, 2026UPS's RSI-14 is at a neutral 54.83. The stock's price is trading 1.7% below its 50-day moving average and is 18.47% off its 52-week high, suggesting a recent period of underperformance or consolidation after a decline. Recent company news includes the expectation to deliver over 4 billion RFID-enabled packages by the end of 2026 and plans to hire 100,000 seasonal employees nationwide. However, the company faces various risks, such as a potential global economic slowdown, price competition in the US ground parcel market, and fluctuations in USD/EUR exchange rates. Labor strikes and cost inflation are also identified as factors that could impact profitability.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How UPS behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| oversold | September 24, 2026 | +2.0% |
| overbought | July 16, 2026 – July 17, 2026 | -2.5% |
| oversold | March 27, 2026 – March 30, 2026 | +16.6% |
| oversold | March 12, 2026 – March 20, 2026 | -1.2% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from UPS’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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