Is Caterpillar Inc. Stock (CAT) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from CAT's daily closing prices · Data through October 15, 2026
As of October 15, 2026, CAT’s 14-day RSI is 31.7, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
CAT reads 31.7 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
-9.8%
MA: $815.27
vs 200-Day MA
+3.6%
MA: $710.29
From 52-Wk High
-30.9%
High: $1064.42
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
-64%
Avg: 1.7M shares
The 50-day average is currently above the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term uptrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
October 15, 2026Caterpillar's neutral RSI reading follows a period of significant downward pressure, with the stock trading well below its 50-day moving average and its 52-week high. This decline is plausibly linked to a series of analyst target reductions and a less favorable macroeconomic environment for industrial companies. Specific factors include renewed macroeconomic anxiety stemming from hotter-than-expected inflation data, which has pushed Treasury yields higher and increased expectations for a restrictive monetary policy. Concerns over order booking momentum and potential margin compression due to rising commodity and freight expenses have also contributed to the selling pressure.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How CAT behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| overbought | June 29, 2026 – July 1, 2026 | -5.4% |
| overbought | February 6, 2026 – February 17, 2026 | +0.5% |
| overbought | February 2, 2026 – February 3, 2026 | +5.6% |
| overbought | December 10, 2025 – December 11, 2025 | -9.6% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from CAT’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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