Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) Stock Price Prediction
AI-generated price target with bull & bear cases · Re-evaluated every trading morning and evening
Our AI model’s current price target for TXN is $304.08 — 7.1% above the latest price of $283.97.
Target vs 52-Week Range
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
The bull case for TXN is supported by its strong market position in analog and embedded processors, which are essential components across various industries. The company is a key beneficiary of the expanding AI infrastructure, with its power management and sensing components seeing significantly increased demand, particularly in data centers (90% YoY growth in Q1 2026 data center revenue). Texas Instruments' strategy of owning its manufacturing facilities provides a competitive advantage. Continued robust demand from industrial and automotive markets, along with management's optimistic forecast for free cash flow per share, could drive further growth. The company's consistent dividend growth also appeals to income-focused investors.
Bear Case
The bear case for TXN centers on its elevated valuation multiples, with some analysts considering it 'Significantly Overvalued,' suggesting the current share price may be overextended ahead of earnings. The upcoming Q2 2026 earnings report carries high expectations, and any miss could lead to a sharp negative reaction. The company faces risks from intensifying global competition and potential adverse impacts from macroeconomic slowdowns and U.S.-China trade tensions, given China's significant contribution to its revenues. Furthermore, a recent decline in gross profit margins and a Debt-to-EBITDA ratio above its historical median could signal underlying financial pressures.
Model-assessed risk level: Medium
Key Catalysts to Watch
Q2 2026 earnings report on July 22, 2026, which will reveal performance against high expectations.
Continued growth in demand for analog and embedded chips, particularly from the AI infrastructure buildout and data center market.
Developments in the industrial and automotive sectors, which are major end markets for TXN's products.
Further product innovations and advancements in power management and new materials like SiC and GaN.
Technical Backdrop
RSI-14
60.1
50-Day MA
$230.46
200-Day MA
$196.76
From 52-Wk High
-8.8%
Full momentum breakdown: Is TXN overbought or oversold?
Model Notes
Texas Instruments (TXN) is a leading American multinational semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, focusing on designing and manufacturing analog chips and embedded processors, which constitute over 80% of its revenue. The company plays a crucial role in various markets, including industrial, automotive, data center, and personal electronics. For Q1 2026, TXN reported revenue of $4.83 billion, an 18.6% increase year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.68, surpassing analyst expectations. Annual revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $17.68 billion, up 13% from 2024. The company is positioned to benefit from the growing market for semiconductors, particularly in power management for AI infrastructure, with data center revenue seeing significant growth. However, it faces risks from macroeconomic slowdowns, intense competition, and geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning its substantial sales exposure to China (over 20% of annual revenues). Analysts have a mixed but generally positive outlook, with a consensus leaning towards 'Buy' or 'Hold' but also noting the stock's current elevated valuation.
Texas Instruments (TXN) is currently in a rising trend channel in the medium long term, suggesting positive development and increasing investor interest. The stock has shown mixed short-term signals with some moving averages indicating sell signals, while others, like the 200-day simple moving average, show a buy signal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral. The stock has support around $223 and resistance at $332, moving within a rectangle formation between support at $288 and resistance at $338. A decisive break above or below these levels would indicate the new direction.
Current Street Context
July 17, 2026The AI price target for Texas Instruments is $304.08. Analyst sentiment for TXN is generally positive, with a consensus rating of "Buy" from 23 analysts and "Moderate Buy" from 35 analysts. The average 12-month price target from analysts is $293.12, with a high estimate of $400.00 and a low of $180.00. Recent news highlights Texas Instruments' strong position in the semiconductor market, particularly in analog chips and power management, which are expected to see increased demand. The company's diverse portfolio and manufacturing capabilities are considered strong competitive advantages. Upcoming events include the Q2 2026 earnings report, for which the company has set an optimistic EPS guidance. However, some analysts note timing concerns regarding revenue growth from data center deployment and potential impacts from macroeconomic conditions. Price targets are estimates and not guarantees, and actual outcomes can be influenced by industry trends and economic shifts.
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Methodology
The price target, bull and bear cases, and risk level are produced by an AI model that reviews TXN’s fundamentals, technical posture, current news flow, and analyst commentary via live web search. It re-evaluates every trading morning and evening; the street-context commentary refreshes each trading evening.
Targets are estimates, not guarantees. No model reliably predicts short-term prices — treat this page as a structured summary of what current information might justify, alongside the risks that could break the thesis.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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