Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) Stock Price Prediction

AI-generated price target with bull & bear cases · Re-evaluated every trading morning and evening

Highly Regarded Refreshed twice per trading day

Our AI model’s current price target for TXN is $326.05 — 25.0% above the latest price of $260.82.

Target vs 52-Week Range

Now $261
Target $326
52-wk low $153.33 52-wk high $311.46

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

The bull case for TXN is predicated on sustained strong demand across its core industrial, automotive, and data center markets, driving increased adoption of its analog and embedded processing products. [1, 13, 27, 30] The company's strategic investments in advanced 300mm wafer manufacturing are expected to yield a significant cost advantage, further enhancing margins and profitability. [15, 31] Continued innovation, particularly in areas like AI-driven analog solutions, could open new avenues for growth. [30] Consistent shareholder returns through its dividend program and share buybacks are likely to attract and retain investors, supported by healthy free cash flow generation. [5, 13, 20, 25] Positive Q3 2026 guidance exceeding analyst expectations would further bolster investor confidence. [13, 27]

Bear Case

The bear case for TXN involves potential challenges such as increased competition and pricing pressure from non-U.S. exporters. [1] The cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, coupled with broader market volatility and economic downturns, could negatively impact revenue and profitability. [20] A failure to meet the strong earnings projections or a slower-than-anticipated recovery in certain end markets could lead to negative market reactions. [20] Concerns also exist regarding the sustainability of dividends due to a currently high payout ratio of 86.45%. [20] Moreover, if industrial demand falters or competition intensifies, underutilized manufacturing capacity could transform a competitive advantage into a drag on returns. [31]

Model-assessed risk level: Low

Key Catalysts to Watch

Strong demand recovery in industrial, automotive, and data center markets.

Strategic cost advantages from 300mm wafer manufacturing.

Continued innovation and expansion into AI-driven analog solutions.

Consistent shareholder returns via dividends and stock buybacks.

Global economic growth and increased digitalization driving semiconductor demand.

Technical Backdrop

RSI-14

43.2

50-Day MA

$273.06

200-Day MA

$208.50

From 52-Wk High

-16.3%

Full momentum breakdown: Is TXN overbought or oversold?

Model Notes

Texas Instruments (TXN) is a leading global semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, specializing in the design and manufacture of analog and embedded processing chips that power a vast array of essential technologies from automotive systems to industrial equipment and data centers. The company recently reported strong financial performance for Q2 2026, with significant year-over-year growth in revenue and earnings per share, surpassing analyst expectations. TI is recognized for its robust cash flow generation, consistent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks, and a strategic focus on its 300mm wafer manufacturing for a cost advantage. Analyst consensus points to a 'Moderate Buy' rating, reflecting confidence in its future growth driven by key market segments.

Texas Instruments exhibits mixed technical signals. While the 200-day simple moving average suggests a 'Buy' signal, several shorter-term moving averages (8-day, 20-day, 50-day) indicate 'Sell' signals. [9] The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in neutral territory at 35.9. [11] The stock has recently broken through the floor of a rising trend channel in the medium term, implying a potential slowdown in its upward trajectory or a shift to more horizontal trading. [18] Current price momentum is considered low. [16] Support levels are identified around $184.53, with resistance at $330.58. [11]

Current Street Context

August 31, 2026

The AI price target of $326.05 for Texas Instruments (TXN) is supported by a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from 29 analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $312.12. Notably, some analysts have raised their price targets despite recent stock declines, indicating a belief in the company's underlying value and future prospects. The next key event for investors will be the third-quarter 2026 earnings release, estimated for late October, with analysts projecting EPS in the range of $2.23–$2.57. The broader semiconductor industry outlook remains robust, driven by sustained investment in AI infrastructure, which is expected to significantly boost global semiconductor revenue in 2026. Texas Instruments' strategic investments in manufacturing and technology, particularly in its Analog and Data Center segments, position it to capitalize on these long-term industry trends. These targets are estimates and subject to market and industry-specific developments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price target for TXN?
Our AI model's current target for Texas Instruments Inc. is $326.05, roughly 25% above the latest price of $260.82. It is re-evaluated twice each trading day and should be read as an estimate, not a promise.
How is this forecast generated?
An AI model reviews current fundamentals, technical posture, news flow, and analyst commentary via live web search, then produces a price target with a bull case, bear case, and key catalysts — all shown on this page with sources.
How accurate are stock price predictions?
No forecast — human or AI — reliably predicts short-term prices. Targets are scenario anchors: they summarize what current information might justify, and they change as that information changes. Treat them as one input among many.
Will TXN stock go up?
Nobody can know in advance. What this page shows instead: the current trend versus its moving averages, upcoming catalysts, and the bull and bear cases side by side, so you can judge the range of outcomes yourself.
How often does the AI target change?
The analysis refreshes every trading morning and evening. Larger revisions usually follow earnings reports, guidance updates, or major company news.

Methodology

The price target, bull and bear cases, and risk level are produced by an AI model that reviews TXN’s fundamentals, technical posture, current news flow, and analyst commentary via live web search. It re-evaluates every trading morning and evening; the street-context commentary refreshes each trading evening.

Targets are estimates, not guarantees. No model reliably predicts short-term prices — treat this page as a structured summary of what current information might justify, alongside the risks that could break the thesis.

Not Financial Advice

This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.

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