Is Oracle Corporation Stock (ORCL) Overbought or Oversold?
RSI analysis computed from ORCL's daily closing prices · Data through July 17, 2026
As of July 17, 2026, ORCL’s 14-day RSI is 35.5, inside the neutral 30–70 band — neither overbought nor oversold by the conventional thresholds.
RSI-14 Scale
ORCL reads 35.5 on the 0–100 scale.
The Supporting Picture
vs 50-Day MA
-14.4%
MA: $147.66
vs 200-Day MA
-40.8%
MA: $213.46
From 52-Wk High
-61.5%
High: $328.33
Volume vs 20-Day Avg
+12%
Avg: 29.9M shares
The 50-day average is currently below the 200-day average, which technicians read as a longer-term downtrend backdrop for the RSI reading above.
What's Behind the Reading
July 17, 2026Oracle's current neutral RSI reading comes amidst significant downward price action, with the stock trading 14.4% below its 50-day moving average and a substantial 61.50% off its 52-week high. This decline is largely attributed to investor concerns regarding the company's aggressive AI data center investments, which are leading to high capital spending and increased leverage. S&P Global Ratings recently downgraded Oracle's credit rating, citing these heavy infrastructure expenditures and an "uncertain path to profitability" for its AI infrastructure business. Additionally, Oracle's latest annual report revealed a workforce reduction of approximately 21,000 jobs, or 13% in fiscal 2026, which the market interpreted as a sign of potential growth problems or restructuring. Despite beating Q4 2026 earnings and revenue estimates, the stock experienced a notable drop, reflecting investor apprehension about near-term profitability and the substantial debt financing required for its AI build-out.
Recent Overbought / Oversold Episodes
How ORCL behaved the last few times RSI left the neutral band — including its return over the 5 trading days after each episode ended.
| Episode | Period | Next 5 Days |
|---|---|---|
| oversold | February 2, 2026 – February 6, 2026 | +12.1% |
| oversold | December 17, 2025 | +10.7% |
| oversold | December 15, 2025 | +7.3% |
| oversold | November 20, 2025 – November 25, 2025 | +5.4% |
Past behavior does not predict future results — small sample sizes especially.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Methodology
The verdict on this page is mechanical: we compute the 14-day Relative Strength Index with Wilder’s smoothing from ORCL’s daily closing prices, and apply the conventional thresholds — above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold. Moving averages, the 52-week range, and volume comparisons come from the same price history.
Indicators are recomputed after every market close. The AI commentary adds context from current news via grounded search, but never changes the computed verdict. Note: closes are as-traded; a stock split would distort readings for a few weeks until the window rolls past it.
Not Financial Advice
This page is for education and information only. Indicators are mechanical calculations, AI commentary can contain errors, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor. See our full disclaimer.
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